Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.157528 0.186169 0.218133 0.256390 0.300877 0.350915 0.411405
2024-12-29 0.115994 0.153822 0.200672 0.262706 0.342405 0.441048 0.572060
2025-01-05 0.088712 0.129020 0.183255 0.261004 0.368940 0.512718 0.717833
2025-01-12 0.069442 0.109247 0.166692 0.254711 0.385019 0.569403 0.848249
2025-01-19 0.055433 0.093509 0.151967 0.246919 0.395572 0.617159 0.969441
2025-01-26 0.047785 0.085731 0.147242 0.252371 0.425118 0.694423 1.141269
2025-02-02 0.041383 0.078610 0.142060 0.255688 0.450827 0.767645 1.313990
2025-02-09 0.035827 0.071828 0.136149 0.256474 0.471761 0.834650 1.483025
2025-02-16 0.031676 0.066794 0.132358 0.260076 0.497395 0.911431 1.675553
2025-02-23 0.028985 0.064045 0.132209 0.270017 0.535086 1.012237 1.919062
2025-03-02 0.024711 0.057312 0.123405 0.262221 0.538823 1.052848 2.059248
2025-03-09 0.022079 0.053551 0.119856 0.264073 0.560827 1.128470 2.270149
2025-03-16 0.019235 0.048879 0.113875 0.260439 0.572167 1.186356 2.456029
2025-03-23 0.017583 0.046653 0.112786 0.266950 0.604922 1.289036 2.738996
2025-03-30 0.015548 0.043117 0.108238 0.265245 0.620149 1.358323 2.962547
2025-04-06 0.013498 0.039137 0.102030 0.258861 0.624337 1.405259 3.144939
2025-04-13 0.011654 0.035322 0.095590 0.250951 0.623999 1.442387 3.310095
2025-04-20 0.010755 0.033900 0.094812 0.256487 0.654994 1.549570 3.634493
2025-04-27 0.009846 0.032273 0.093255 0.259855 0.681231 1.648732 3.950470
2025-05-04 0.008927 0.030426 0.090829 0.260653 0.701310 1.735901 4.247669
2025-05-11 0.008220 0.029087 0.089567 0.264309 0.728844 1.842703 4.599045
2025-05-18 0.007811 0.028611 0.090643 0.274402 0.773817 1.994464 5.067855
2025-05-25 0.006843 0.026095 0.085459 0.266488 0.771217 2.032416 5.271884